Assumptions under which these winning percentages were calculated:
- 1. The current state and ordering of the board on 08/30/2018 with all released summer movies in terms of domestic box office
- is used as starting point. Exceptions in 2.
- 2. -
- 3. The Top 4 movies will be 'Avengers: Infinity War', 'Incredibles 2', 'Jurassic World 2' and 'Deadpool 2' in that order. Exceptions in 4.
- 4. -
- 5. Released or preset movies (see 2.) dont change their relative position to each other. Exceptions in 6.
- 6. a) 'Ant-Man and the Wasp' can move up 1 position except Top 4.
- b) 'The Meg' can be at 10th.
- c) 'Crazy Rich Asians' can be at 10th.
- 7. No future released movie will enter the Top Ten. Exceptions in 8.
- 8. -
- 9. Each differently ordered or composed Top Ten produced by assumptions 1-8 is a single event,
- which has an equal chance of coming true.
- 10. Events in which two or more players share 1st place are counted for all of them.
- Thus adding up all win percentages of all players may exceed 100%.
vs. 
Summer Movie Wager